The most influential Megatrends set to shape the world through 2030, identified by Euromonitor International, help businesses better anticipate market developments and lead change for their industries.Learn More
The Brexit Scenarios Tool is a new interactive market intelligence dashboard available on our website and Passport’s Analytics page. Our new Quarterly Brexit Report is a partner piece to the tool, which will provide the analysis behind the numbers each quarter, helping clients to stay informed with the Brexit process as it unfolds. Understanding the impact of different Brexit scenarios on our baseline forecasts for the UK economy, industries and consumers will enable you to be prepared for a range of outcomes, providing the tools to stress-test strategy, plan ahead and remain profitable in these challenging times.
The Brexit Scenarios Tool is a powerful way to access and explore the economic, industry and consumer implications of Brexit for the UK, helping businesses navigate the extremely high level of uncertainty at this present time. The tool brings together as many as 10 different dashboards on Passport into a single application, and aims to provide an immediate interpretation of the consequences of our Brexit scenarios:
The Scenarios tab provides an overview of our baseline Brexit forecasts and pre-defined scenarios, focusing on the possible future relationship of the UK with the European Union (EU). Upon choosing the scenario of interest, all charts update to show the impact on the UK economy, industries and consumers. For example, in a “No Deal Brexit” scenario:
Switch to the Latest Data tab to see the most recent monthly and quarterly macroeconomic indicators to stay informed about how the UK economy is doing as the Brexit process unfolds:
UK businesses and consumers are grappling with uncertainty about what the future holds when the UK is due to leave the EU in March 2019. The report enables clients to stay on top of the latest Brexit developments and to understand how Euromonitor’s Brexit scenarios are changing.
Euromonitor’s baseline scenario already incorporates the likelihood (35-45% probability) of a Delayed Free Trade Agreement, where the UK remains in the EU for another two to three years until a deal is reached. The quarterly report examines the impact of a No-Deal Brexit scenario (30-40% probability) on our baseline, alongside the much slimmer prospect of a Light Brexit (5-15% probability).