-
Category
- Africa
- Alcoholic Drinks
- Analytics
- Apparel & Footwear
- Articles
- Asia
- Australia
- Automotive
- Beauty & Personal Care
- Cannabis
- Cities
- Company News
- Consumer Appliances
- Consumer Electronics
- Consumer Finance
- Consumer Foodservice
- Consumer Health
- CSR
- Datagraphics
- Digital Consumer
- Economies & Consumers
- Education
- Ethical Labels
- Europe
- Events
- Eyewear
- Free Market Research
- Fresh Food
- Global
- Health & Wellness
- Hidden Content
- Home & Garden
- Home Care
- Hot Drinks
- Industrial
- Ingredients
- Institutional Channels
- Latin America
- Luxury Goods
- Main Feature
- Megatrends
- Middle East
- MRX 101
- North America
- Nutrition
- Packaged Food
- Packaging
- Passport
- Personal Accessories
- Pet Care
- Popular Posts
- Press Resources
- Retailing
- Soft Drinks
- Sports & Entertainment
- Survey Results
- Sustainability
- Tissue & Hygiene
- Tobacco
- Top 10 Global Consumer Trends 2019
- Toys & Games
- Travel
- Videos
- VisApps
- On-Demand
- Webinars
- White Papers
- Podcasts
- Videos
-
Tags
- A-B InBev
- Adidas
- advertising
- affordable luxury
- Africa
- ageing
- agriculture
- air treatment
- Airbnb
- airlines
- alcoholic drinks
- Alibaba
- Amazon
- analgesics
- Android
- anti-ageing
- apparel and footwear
- Apple
- apps
- arab spring
- Argentina
- ASEAN
- Asia
- Asia Pacific
- athleisure
- austerity
- Australasia
- Australia
- automotive
- awards
- baby food
- baked goods
- Bangladesh
- banking
- bankruptcy
- Barcelona
- beauty and personal care
- beer
- Behind the Data
- Belarus
- beverage packaging
- beverages
- birth rate
- Black Friday
- black market
- bottled water
- bottom of the pyramid
- branding
- Brazil
- breaking news
- brexit
- BRICS
- Bulgaria
- Burberry
- Burger King
- business
- business dynamics
- business environment
- Cadbury
- cafe
- CAGR
- Canada
- cannabis
- carbonates
- cards
- Carrefour
- case study
- CBD
- Cedric Bra
- celebrity
- CES
- chain
- challenges
- champagne
- channel
- cheese
- children
- Chile
- China
- Chinese
- Chipotle
- chocolate
- christmas
- cider
- cigarettes
- circular economy
- cities
- city travel briefings
- clean label
- climate change
- Coca-Cola
- Cocoa
- coconut water
- coffee
- coffee pods
- Colombia
- commerce
- commodities
- commodities roundup
- company profiles
- competition
- confectionery
- connected consumer
- connectivity
- consolidation
- consumer appliances
- consumer behavior
- consumer electronics
- consumer expenditure
- consumer finance
- consumer foodservice
- consumer health
- consumer lifestyles
- consumer surveys
- consumer trends
- consumers
- contact lenses
- convenience
- corn
- corruption
- cosmetics
- countries
- Crimea
- CSR
- Cuba
- culture
- Cyber Monday
- dairy
- Danone
- data
- debt
- Dell
- demand
- demographics
- detergent
- Deutsch
- developed economies
- developing economies
- diabetes
- Diageo
- diet
- digital
- digital consumer
- direct selling
- dishwashers
- disposable income
- disruption
- distribution
- Dubai
- e-book
- e-cigarettes
- Eastern Europe
- ecommerce
- economic outlook
- economies
- edible oils
- education
- Egypt
- electric vehicles
- Electrolux
- emerging markets
- energy
- England
- environmental
- ESOMAR
- esports
- Ethical Labels
- EU
- Euromonitor
- Euromonitor events
- Europe
- European Union (EU)
- Eurozone
- Eurozone crisis
- event recaps
- events
- expansion
- exports
- eyewear
- fashion
- Fashion Friday
- fast casual
- fast fashion
- fast food
- FDA
- fibre
- FIFA
- finance
- Finland
- fintech
- flavour
- FMCG
- food
- food safety
- food waste
- forecast
- foreign direct investment (FDI)
- fragrances
- France
- free report
- free trade
- French
- fresh food
- frozen food
- functional beverages
- functional food
- Gap
- GDP
- gender
- generation
- generation Z
- Germany
- Gin
- glass
- global
- global consumer types
- global financial crisis
- globalcast
- gluten-free
- government
- grain
- Greece
- green
- Green Mountain
- grocery
- growth
- gut health
- H&M
- Haier Group
- hair care
- Halal
- Hasbro
- health and wellness
- healthcare
- healthy living
- Heineken
- Hershey
- holiday retailing
- holidays
- home and garden
- home care
- Hong Kong
- hot drinks
- households
- Hungary
- ice cream
- Ikea
- illicit trade
- immigration
- imports
- in-cosmetics
- income
- income inequality
- Indesit
- India
- Inditex
- Indonesia
- industrial
- industry 4.0
- inflation
- infographic
- infrastructure
- ingredients
- innovation
- instant coffee
- intelligence
- interactive
- internet
- internet of things
- internet retailing
- interview series
- investment
- IPO
- Iran
- IRCE
- Ireland
- Italy
- Japan
- Japanese
- jewellery
- juice
- Keurig
- KFC
- Kraft
- L'oreal
- labour
- Latin America
- laundry
- Lego
- LG
- licensing
- Lithuania
- local
- lodging
- loyalty
- luggage
- Luxottica
- luxury goods
- LVMH
- macroeconomics
- Malaysia
- manufacturing
- market
- market share
- marketing
- Mattel
- McDonald's
- meat
- meat substitutes
- media
- megatrends
- men's grooming
- MENA
- mergers and acquisitions
- Mexico
- Michael Kors
- Microsoft
- middle class
- middle east
- migration
- milk
- millennials
- mobile
- mobile phones
- mobile retailing
- mobile wallet
- Mondelez
- Money20/20
- monthly health series
- Moscow
- mrx 101
- nappies/diapers
- natural
- natural gas
- natural resources
- Nespresso
- Nestle
- New consumerism
- new markets
- new product
- New Zealand
- news
- NFC
- Nigeria
- Nike
- non-alcoholic
- North Africa
- North America
- Norway
- nutrition
- obesity
- oil
- Olympics
- omnichannel
- one-child-policy
- online
- organic
- over the counter (OTC)
- packaged food
- packaging
- Pakistan
- Paris
- partnership
- Passport
- Passport GMID
- path to purchase
- payments
- Paypal
- Pepsi Co.
- personal accessories
- personalisation
- Peru
- pet care
- pet food
- PET packaging
- pharmaceutical
- Philippines
- podcast
- Poland
- politics
- pollution
- population
- Portugal
- Portuguese
- premium
- premiumisation
- presentation
- Press Release
- price
- private equity
- private label
- probiotics
- Procter & Gamble (P&G)
- product
- production
- products
- protein
- purchase
- Qatar
- quarterly results
- quick facts
- Ranked
- ranking
- recession
- recovery
- Red Bull
- region
- regulations
- resources
- retailing
- Rihanna
- Romania
- RTD
- Russia
- SABMiller
- sales
- Samsung
- sanctions
- Saudi Arabia
- scotch
- Sephora
- sharing economy
- ShopTalk
- Singapore
- Singles Day
- skin care
- slowdown
- smart home
- smartphones
- smoking
- snacks
- social media
- soda
- soft drinks
- Sony
- South Africa
- South Korea
- Southeast Asia
- spain
- Spanish
- speaking engagements
- spectacles
- spirits
- sports and energy drinks
- sports and entertainment
- sports nutrition
- sportswear
- Starbucks
- statistics
- stevia
- store
- store visit
- stores
- strategy
- Sub-Saharan Africa
- subscription model
- sugar
- sugar tax
- summit
- Suntory
- super bowl
- supplement
- supplements
- survey
- Survey results
- sustainability
- Sweden
- sweeteners
- SWOT analysis
- tablets
- tax
- tea
- technology
- telecommunications
- televisions
- tequila
- terrorism
- Tesco
- Thailand
- tissue and hygiene
- tobacco
- Tokyo
- top 10
- Top 10 Global Consumer Trends
- Top 10 Global Consumer Trends 2019
- Top 100
- Top 100 Cities
- top 100 megabrands
- toys and games
- TPP
- trade
- travel
- Trump
- Trump downturn
- Turkey
- Ukraine
- unemployment
- Unilever
- United Arab Emirates (UAE)
- United Kingdom (UK)
- United States (US)
- urbanisation
- value
- vegan
- vegetarian
- Via
- video
- video games
- videos
- Vietnam
- virtual reality
- VisApp
- vitafoods
- vitamins and dietary supplements
- vodka
- volunteering
- Walmart
- watches
- water
- wealth
- wearables
- webinar
- weight management
- Western Europe
- wheat
- Whirlpool
- whiskey
- white paper
- Windows
- wine
- women
- World Cup
- World Travel Market (WTM)
- WTM
- Xbox
- Yariella Coello
- yoghurt
- youth
- Zara
As Brazil’s Political Crisis Rumbles on, What Next for the Economy?
With Brazil seemingly never out of the headlines for all the wrong reasons, the economy remains mired in recession and the government in crisis. As I explored earlier in the year, the Brazilian economy is beset by challenges: growth is stagnating, inflation and unemployment climbing, the currency weak, government finances are strained and the consumption boom is well and truly over.
We’re currently forecasting real GDP growth of -1.4% in 2015, with economic growth remaining weak through 2016 and 2017. Added to which, risks are on the downside, meaning that as the year progresses this figure is more likely to be revised down than up. If the economy shrinks twice as fast as our expected rate of -0.8% in Q2, we could see growth for the year as a whole somewhere in the region of -2.2% with unemployment reaching 7.0% in 2016.
Growth Slowdown Scenario in Brazil
Source: Euromonitor International CAMI Macro Model
Note: Data are forecast from Q2 2015.
It’s true that the recession has all the hallmarks of a cyclical slowdown, and the country is a victim of the China slowdown and commodity price falls, but that shouldn’t detract from the major challenges the government faces, and the structural reform which is a prerequisite for sustainable growth. These structural reforms are not likely in the current environment with the government in gridlock.
Read more on Brazil’s challenges and the implications for the wider region here: Latin America’s Spluttering Economic Heart