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March 28, 2015

Saudi Arabia: Migrant Workers and Mid-Income Group Drive Record Sales of Cheap Cars

Arunas-UmbrasasAnalyst Insight by Arunas Umbrasas - Industrial Analyst

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Saudi Arabia’s booming automobile market powered through the global sales slump over 2009-2013 and is set to register roaring growth over 2013-2019. Surprisingly, sales expansion is being fuelled not by sales of bespoke Rolls-Royces but by low-cost vehicles, which are increasingly popular among mid-income Saudis and foreign workers. Dynamic growth has already attracted major brands from China such as Geely, which capitalised on robust growth to expand market share by catering to low-cost vehicle buyers. As leading competitors continue to launch new models and more foreign workers arrive in the Kingdom, car sales will only grow further during the forecast period.

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March 1, 2015

Commodities Roundup: February 2015

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Most commodities continued on the downward trend that began back in mid-2014. Overall commodities prices fell by 12% in January over the previous month. This podcast discuses trends and driving factors behind these falling prices.  Listen to the podcast for complete insights.

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February 22, 2015

Euromonitor to Speak at the Asia Pacific Nonwovens Symposium 2015

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Event: Asia Pacific Nonwovens Symposium

Event Dates: May 11-12, 2015,

Event Location: InterContinental Shanghai PUXI Hotel, Shanghai, China

Website: http://2015.nonwovens-symposium.com/en

Speaker: Jiaqi Du 杜佳琪 Senior Research Analyst  资深研究分析师

Presentation Topic2014年中国及全球吸收用品行业的回顾及展望

Overview and Trends of China and Global Hygiene Market

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February 10, 2015

What does the Syriza Party's Plans mean for Greece's Financial Support?

Greece Monitor Intermediation Industry contracted by a rate of 5% per year from 2008-2013. Athens bank index has hit the lowest level of all time. Greece needs to stick to strict rules in order for their eurozone bailout bonds to be bought by the ECB. Watch video for complete insights.

Vita KrasodomskyteVideo features Vita Krasodomskyte - Industrial Research Analyst

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February 8, 2015

Latinoamérica podría ser el gran abastecedor global de minerales

Vita KrasodomskytePor Vita Krasodomskyte - Analista del sector industrial

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Con un PIB total incrementándose en una tasa de crecimiento anual compuesto de 6% entre 2008 y 2013, Latinoamérica es una región atractiva para la inversión.  Las empresas locales han venido mejorando su rendimiento en diferentes áreas de negocios desde la agricultura y la producción de alimentos hasta la producción de bienes de alta tecnología y equipos de transporte, cada uno de ellos con tasas anuales de crecimiento de 4 a 5% entre el 2008 y 2013.

Sin embargo, la minería sigue siendo la industria más prometedora en Latinoamérica y ha incrementado significativamente la presencia de la región en el mundo.  La explotación de minerales metálicos significó el 2% del PIB total en Latinoamérica en 2013 y algunos países de la región dependieron fuertemente de sus actividades mineras.  Chile, por ejemplo, generó el 16% de su PIB a partir de sus actividades mineras en 2013.  Aún más, la explotación de minerales metálicos en Latinoamérica se elevó por sobre USD 116 mil millones en 2013, cifra que representa el 17% de la producción global total, incrementando asimismo la importancia de la industria en el panorama global.

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February 4, 2015

Commodities Roundup: January 2015

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Food, metal and energy commodity prices all fell this month, with energy seeing the largest drop at-15.1% over the previous month. This podcast discusses potential consequences of the low oil prices in oil exporting countries and how long we can expect oil prices to remain this low.

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February 2, 2015

Cheap Oil: Winners and Losers

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Daniel SolomonAnalyst Insight by Daniel Solomon - Economist

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With oil prices near to US$50 per barrel, it may be time to rethink the "new normal" and look at how cheaper oil would affect economic growth of different economies. In this note, we use Euromonitor International's macro model to explore the effects of a long term decline in the price of oil on real GDP and consumer expenditure growth for 52 countries. The scenario assumes a five year 40% decline in oil prices to US$60 per barrel starting in 2015, relative to the earlier "normal" price of around US$100 per barrel. 

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January 23, 2015

How Does the Sharp Decline in Oil Prices Impact Oil Exporters?

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Global oil prices have fallen sharply since mid-2014 and are expected to stay low during the course of 2015. For oil exporters, this leads to significant shortfalls in government revenues, rising unemployment, falling income and expenditure, potential economic recession as well as increased risk of social instability. However, it can also present an opportunity for oil exporters to enhance efforts to diversify their economies.

Crude Oil Average Spot Prices: Q1 2014 – Q4 2015

Average Price of Crude Oil

Source: Euromonitor International from national statistics

Note: Data for Q1 2015 onwards are forecast 

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December 26, 2014

The Consequences of Indonesia’s Nickel Export Ban

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Exports of Nickel Ore were banned in Indonesia at the beginning of 2014, cutting off almost 18 percent of supply for the global market. Somewhat surprisingly, this ban actually led to a drop in nickel prices due to market preparation for the ban. Euromonitor expects prices of nickel ore to recover next year amid a proposed ban of nickel exports from The Philippines.

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December 16, 2014

European Banks in 2015: What to Expect?

Vita KrasodomskyteAnalyst Insight by Vita Krasodomskyte - Industrial Analyst

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The EU’s monetary intermediation industry still remains sluggish, growing by 2-3% per year in 2013-2014. Increasing regulation, slow economic growth and rather weak financial health is projected to remain among the major challenges for the European financial institutions in 2015.

 

Increasing European Central Bank role

Eurozone countries, in order to improve their banking activities, have established the banking union with common regulation and, by November 2014, the ECB had become the supervisor of all banks in the Eurozone area (around 6,000 in total). Increasing regulation is expected to continue to be seen in 2015 as well. The European Banking Authority will be increasingly focusing on risk assessment, which will remain a key priority for the European banking industry. Moreover, the development of the Single Rulebook and growing regulation in such areas as recovery and resolution, consumer protection and financial innovation will also continue throughout 2015.

EU banks still suffer from the slow economy

Economic growth is projected to remain weak over 2015. Total GDP in the EU is expected to only grow by less than 2% in 2015, thus further creating strong pressure on the financial market. Restructuring will be one of the key factors for an improvement in the performance of banks. In order to increase profitability, banks will have to sell capital-intensive loss-making units and focus more on just a few of the most profitable market segments.

Nearly 20% of EU’s largest banks fail the stress test

A total of 24 out of the 123 largest EU banks failed the stress test, coordinated by the European Banking Authority to measure the financial health of the EU banks by the end of 2013. The results of the stress test, published in October 2014, showed that the EU banks had a capital shortfall of close to EUR25 billion, meaning that close to 20% of the largest EU banks are not fully prepared for possible difficult economic conditions. As a result, following the instruction to cover the shortfalls, the year 2015 will remain challenging for the EU banks seeking to improve their financial health and cover their capital shortfalls.

 

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Recent Posts

Saudi Arabia: Migrant Workers and Mid-Income Group Drive Record Sales of Cheap Cars

Commodities Roundup: February 2015

Euromonitor to Speak at the Asia Pacific Nonwovens Symposium 2015

What does the Syriza Party's Plans mean for Greece's Financial Support?

Latinoamérica podría ser el gran abastecedor global de minerales

Commodities Roundup: January 2015

Cheap Oil: Winners and Losers

How Does the Sharp Decline in Oil Prices Impact Oil Exporters?

The Consequences of Indonesia’s Nickel Export Ban

European Banks in 2015: What to Expect?