Home » Major Trends and Insight

895 posts categorized "Major Trends and Insight"

September 22, 2014

Special Report: Sub-Saharan Africa’s Top 5 Economies

Sarah-B-Banner

View Sarah Boumphrey's profile on LinkedIn

Sub-Saharan Africa’s five largest economies: Nigeria, South Africa, Angola, Ethiopia and Ghana accounted for 41% of the region’s population and 71% of its GDP in 2013. Four of the five, with the exception of South Africa, are forecast to experience strong economic growth in the coming years.

Continue reading "Special Report: Sub-Saharan Africa’s Top 5 Economies" »

September 18, 2014

Top 5 Manufacturing Economies: What Challenges Are They Facing?

An HodgsonAnalyst Insight by An Hodgson - Income and Expenditure Manager

View An Hodgson's profile on LinkedIn

Four of the top five countries in terms of total manufacturing production are developed economies, with the exception of China whose impressive manufacturing might was built upon a pool of low-cost labour. Altogether the top five manufacturing countries accounted for 66.0% of global manufacturing output in 2013. Despite their dominance, each of the top five manufacturing powerhouses is facing a set of unique challenges that could change the future global manufacturing landscape. Understanding the challenges facing these top manufacturing economies can help businesses plan strategically as well as identifying long-term opportunities.

Top 5 Countries in Total Manufacturing Production: 2013

Source: Euromonitor International from national statistics/UN/OECD

Continue reading "Top 5 Manufacturing Economies: What Challenges Are They Facing?" »

September 15, 2014

The Potential Impact of Scottish Independence on the UK's Business and Consumer Landscape

Carrie_LennardAnalyst Insight by Carrie Lennard - Business Environment Manager

View Carrie Lennard's profile on LinkedIn

As Scottish citizens prepare to vote on the 18th September 2014 on the issue of Scottish independence, the outcome will have a major impact on the United Kingdom, and the EU as a whole. The UK is one of the most robust economies in the EU, accounting for 14.6% of total EU GDP in 2013. If Scotland becomes independent, the impact on the consumer landscape and business environments in both Scotland and the remainder of the United Kingdom will be far reaching, potentially impacting many areas such as retailing and consumers, the employment landscape and government finances.

Continue reading "The Potential Impact of Scottish Independence on the UK's Business and Consumer Landscape" »

September 11, 2014

China's Unique Population Structure: 5 Key Facts

China's unique demographic structure is a major challenge to sustainable economic growth. Learn key facts on how the one-child policy is impacting population structure and China's rapidly ageing population in this video.

Watch on Youtube

September 10, 2014

Can the Scottish Economy Make it Alone?

Sarah-B-Banner

View Sarah Boumphrey's profile on LinkedIn

EMI_business-v1.0 (1)

With the very real chance of Scotland voting to leave the United Kingdom and go it alone later this month, how will an independent Scotland measure up? Home to only 7% of UK businesses it will be small – but will it be nimble? Its recent economic growth has not been extraordinary.

Continue reading "Can the Scottish Economy Make it Alone?" »

September 8, 2014

Dealing with the Infrastructure Deficit in Emerging Markets

Sarah-B-Banner

View Sarah Boumphrey's profile on LinkedIn

Inadequate infrastructure adds significant costs to doing business in many emerging markets. Roads, ports, railways, airports, telecoms and electricity supply help businesses and the economy run efficiently. Yet poor infrastructure can and is being overcome, and can also offer opportunities for business.

The road to nowhere

The quality of infrastructure is not always aligned with the size of the consumer market. Major emerging markets such as Brazil, Russia and India suffer from poor infrastructure.

Quality of Overall Infrastructure in Selected Major Emerging Markets: 2012/2013

SB1

Source: World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report 2013-2014

Note: How would you assess general infrastructure (e.g., transport, telephony, and energy) in your country? Scores: 1 = extremely underdeveloped; 7 = well developed and efficient by international standards. Mean refers to the average score of 148 developed and emerging and developing countries.

Continue reading "Dealing with the Infrastructure Deficit in Emerging Markets" »

September 6, 2014

Income and Expenditure Brazil: Why Brazil Is an Attractive Consumer Market with Challenges

An HodgsonAnalyst Insight by An Hodgson - Income and Expenditure Manager

View An Hodgson's profile on LinkedIn

Euromonitor International’s Income and Expenditure Brazil Country Briefing highlights many an opportunity for businesses in Latin America’s largest consumer market, underpinned by a large and predominantly young population, a rapidly growing middle class, and a high and rising proportion of discretionary spending in total consumer expenditure. However, risks to the outlook remain, with real income growth through to 2030 expected to be below the regional average. Meanwhile, a high level of income inequality will continue to fragment the market, requiring companies to adapt multiple business strategies in the country.

Annual Real Growth in Total Annual Disposable Income and Consumer Expenditure: 2013-2030

Source: Euromonitor International from national statistics /UN/OECD

Note: Data for 2014-2030 are forecasts; Data are in constant 2013 prices, fixed exchange rate 

Continue reading "Income and Expenditure Brazil: Why Brazil Is an Attractive Consumer Market with Challenges" »

Special Report: Rising Geopolitical Tensions Counter Ample Oil Supplies and Impact Global Prices

160936622An escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Libya and Ukraine will continue to add risks to the global oil markets, although oil prices have been largely stable since 2013, owing to a glut in supplies and a weaker-than-expected growth in demand. Global oil prices are an important economic indicator for businesses and consumers, as it affects inflation, households’ purchasing power, and industry’s production costs, thus having far-reaching implications for economic growth prospects.
 

 

 

Key points 

  • Regional political unrests have been on the rise since early 2014, with growing tensions from Iraq, Syria, the Gaza strip, Libya and between Russia and Ukraine. This will fuel the risk of disruptions in global oil supplies, as the Middle East and Russia are among the world’s largest oil producing countries/regions. The Middle East made up about one-third of global total oil production in 2013, according to BP Amoco; 

  • Nevertheless, global oil prices have remained subdued in the first half of 2014, driven by rising production and flat oil demand. The average spot price of Europe Brent crude oil stood at US$107 per barrel in July 2014, representing a month-on-month decline of 4.4%; 

  • The USA’s oil production capacity rose to 10.0 million barrels per day in 2013, soaring by 47.5% since 2008, due to a surge in shale oil extraction. Saudi Arabia is also extracting more oil to offset shortfalls caused by production disruptions in some countries in the region. Meanwhile, growth in oil demand has slowed, as a result of weaker-than-expected economic data from the eurozone and the USA in the first half of 2014; 

  • However, the outlook for global oil prices in the short term will continue to depend largely on geopolitical situations in the Middle East, North Africa and Ukraine, as well as on growth in global oil demand. A spike in global oil prices will affect economic growth prospects, reducing consumers’ purchasing power and putting downward pressure on company profits.    

Continue reading "Special Report: Rising Geopolitical Tensions Counter Ample Oil Supplies and Impact Global Prices" »

September 4, 2014

Top 5 Largest Advanced Economies: What is the Mid-Year Outlook in 2014?

IStock_000005075107Small

Analyst Insight by Media Eghbal - Head of Countries Analysis

View Media Eghbal's profile on LinkedIn

The global economy is picking up pace in the second half of 2014. One of the key characteristics is that growth is being driven by advanced economies as risks are on the increase in emerging markets. The outlook for the five largest developed markets is mixed with the best performance expected in the UK while France, Europe’s second largest economy, battles economic stagnation which is acting as a drag on eurozone potential. Developed economies face key challenges including low inflation, a threat of deflation and persistent unemployment in some countries. Furthermore, rising geopolitical tensions around the world could throw the global recovery off course. However, the positive signs are robust including a pickup in trade, rising domestic demand and an easing of fiscal tightening measures, which were deployed to deal with unsustainable government debt levels. These factors have resulted in renewed investor interest in major advanced economies. The second half of 2014 will be dominated by debates about when interest rates will rise in these economies from their record low rates.

Continue reading "Top 5 Largest Advanced Economies: What is the Mid-Year Outlook in 2014?" »

August 29, 2014

The Role of Social Media in China

image from http://s3.amazonaws.com/hires.aviary.com/k/mr6i2hifk4wxt1dp/14052314/ad4f58b0-530a-4cd0-a12e-569f97c066b3.pngWith Pavel Marceaux, Technology, Communications and Media Analyst

China holds the biggest social media networks by user numbers outside of Facebook, and as a result these networks have a large influence on many other industries including travel, ecommerce and banking. In fact, many retailers own their own social networks which Chinese consumers access to find discounts and deals. This blur between social media and ecommerce is more apparent in China than in the Western world.

Download as an MP3

Subscribe

 RSS Feed

Receive New Posts via Email:

 

Join us on...


View our YouTube Channel Follow Euromonitor on Twitter Become a Fan on Facebook Connect with Euromonitor on LinkedIn




Filter by Category

Filter by Geography

Filter by Industry

Recent Posts

Special Report: Sub-Saharan Africa’s Top 5 Economies

Top 5 Manufacturing Economies: What Challenges Are They Facing?

The Potential Impact of Scottish Independence on the UK's Business and Consumer Landscape

China's Unique Population Structure: 5 Key Facts

Can the Scottish Economy Make it Alone?

Dealing with the Infrastructure Deficit in Emerging Markets

Income and Expenditure Brazil: Why Brazil Is an Attractive Consumer Market with Challenges

Special Report: Rising Geopolitical Tensions Counter Ample Oil Supplies and Impact Global Prices

Top 5 Largest Advanced Economies: What is the Mid-Year Outlook in 2014?

The Role of Social Media in China