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February 13, 2013

Russian Birth Rate above Regional Average

Datagraphic-Russia-Baby-Boom

Russia is experiencing a baby boom, bucking the Eastern European demographic crisis following the transition from communist rule. Rapid economic growth, higher standards of living and government policy to encourage more children has resulted in an increase in births since 2007. However, Euromonitor expects this to be a temporary bump with deaths expected to outpace births again from 2017 while the number of women of child-bearing age declines.


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This is too pessimistic. Russian women age at marriage is increasing quickly as is expectation of family size (ideal is 3). So the current bulge of young women will perhaps spread their babies over a longer period than before and also have more of them. Russian households are not burdened by mortgage debt. They will behave differently to the EU.

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